Tuesday, September 2, 2008

Not Pleasantly Surprised


Recipe for a dissapointing surprise:
  1. Take a look at Juan Carlos Navarro ACB Career Season averages
    (see last row in table, "Promedios")
  2. Take a look at Juan Carlos Navarro 2007-08 NBA Season average
    (see SEASON AVERAGES table)
  3. Compare both
Yes, they are SOOO SIMILAR. Even if we only consider the last 8 ACB Seasons (the two first ones are not significant), they are still so similar. Well, not really. Certainly ACB stats are better than NBA ones (specially in points per game, 25 vs. 20 points per 48 minutes, and field-goal percentage, 45% vs 40%). However, the other stats (rebounds, assists, steals, fouls, turnovers, etc.) look practically identical. What I mean is that I thought that JCN had space to grow in the League. But, 5 points in 48 minutes and a 5% is a very little space, and it's really hard to believe that JCN will be able to improve his ACB stats playing in the NBA at age 28. Drazen Petrovic is the perfect example to illustrate what I mean. You can compare his ACB stats with his NBA stats, and see how he grew in 5 seasons in the League (Amazing!!) without reaching his ACB numbers.

I don't want to demerit JCN. Honestly, I think what he did in the League is very difficult and commendable. However, it's not worthwhile to spend time and loose money to be there.

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